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How prediction markets work
What is Predict SA?
Predict South Africa is the country's first real-money prediction market. Trade on the outcomes of elections, sports, economic events, and more. Prices reflect crowd-sourced probabilities — if a YES share costs R0.62, the market believes there's a 62% chance that outcome will happen.
How to trade
Browse markets across politics, sports, finance, and culture. Choose YES or NO for any market, enter your stake, and confirm. Winning shares pay R1.00 each. You can hold until resolution or sell early at the current market price.
How markets resolve
Every market has a specific resolution source locked in before it opens — the IEC for elections, SARB for interest rates, the league for sports, and so on. When the source publishes the official result, the market resolves. No ambiguity, no appeals.
Why prediction markets?
Prediction markets consistently outperform polls and pundits. When people put money behind their beliefs, the aggregate forecast is more accurate than any single expert. Predict SA brings this power to the questions that matter to South Africans.
Ready to start? Create an account and make your first prediction in under a minute.