β Back to Predict SA
Accuracy
How well do our markets predict outcomes?
Calibration
Markets trading at 80% should resolve YES 80% of the time. We track calibration across all resolved markets β our first cohort is still open. Historical prediction markets calibrate within 2-3% across millions of trades.
Track record
Accuracy metrics will be published once a statistically meaningful number of markets have resolved. Each market's resolution source is public and verifiable β IEC, SARB, JSE, Stats SA, and official league data.