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Accuracy

How well do our markets predict outcomes?

Calibration

Markets trading at 80% should resolve YES 80% of the time. We track calibration across all resolved markets β€” our first cohort is still open. Historical prediction markets calibrate within 2-3% across millions of trades.

Track record

Accuracy metrics will be published once a statistically meaningful number of markets have resolved. Each market's resolution source is public and verifiable β€” IEC, SARB, JSE, Stats SA, and official league data.