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Predict South Africa operates in compliance with applicable South African laws and regulations. This platform is not regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) and operates independently. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all users. Predict South Africa is intended for users 18 years and older. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Users are responsible for complying with local laws in their jurisdiction. See our Terms of Service & Privacy Policy.

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South Africa's First Prediction Market

What Will South Africa Do Next?

Geopolitics
Middle East4US–SA Relations3Russia–Ukraine4China & BRICS4Oil, Shipping & Global Shocks4
Middle East4US–SA Relations3Russia–Ukraine4China & BRICS4Oil, Shipping & Global Shocks4

Will the Mozambique insurgency in Cabo Delgado result in a major SA military intervention (troop deployment) before end of 2026?

Yes 32%No 68%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will a Gaza ceasefire agreement be reached before end of 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will Saudi Arabia and Israel normalise diplomatic relations before end of 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will the Houthis resume attacks on Red Sea commercial shipping in H2 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will Israel and Hezbollah reach a formal ceasefire agreement before end of 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will a formal ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine be signed before end of 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
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Will EU sanctions on Russian oil and gas be extended beyond 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will Russia's trade surplus with China exceed $250 billion for calendar 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
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Will NATO announce new member accession before end of 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
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Will Brent crude oil trade above $100/bbl at any point in Q4 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
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Will the Suez Canal transit volume return to pre-2023 levels before end of 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
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Will OPEC+ announce a production increase of more than 500,000 bpd for 2027?

Yes 50%No 50%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will global container shipping rates (FBX) be above $3,000 at end of Q4 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will BRICS announce the admission of a new member country before end of 2026?

Yes 45%No 55%
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Will SA vote in favour of or abstain from a UN General Assembly resolution critical of Israel before end of 2026?

Yes 75%No 25%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will the SADC mission in the DRC (SAMIDRC) be extended beyond its current mandate before end of 2026?

Yes 55%No 45%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will the GNU coalition government survive through December 2026 without a formal collapse or cabinet walkout?

Yes 62%No 38%
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Will SA abstain from or vote against a UN resolution on Russia/Ukraine that the US and EU support before end of 2026?

Yes 58%No 42%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will China and the US announce a new trade or technology agreement before end of 2026?

Yes 35%No 65%
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Will the US Presidential election result be certified by Congress without a repeat of the January 6-style challenge?

Yes 68%No 32%
NEW Vol.Make your call →

Will the ICJ issue a final ruling in SA's genocide case against Israel before end of 2026?

Yes 28%No 72%
NEW Vol.Make your call →